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Best non-quantitative resources for investment insight?
I'm trying to find ways other than using social media or making a financial analysis of a company's stock performance to see what other indicators, resources, reports there are out there as good resources/indicators for future performance of various markets. What I'm looking for is what you...
Soft or Hard landing?
It's all in the title. What do Macro monkeys think of this in the light of encouraging CPI numbers? Is J.Powell gearing up for the ultimate soft landing, or are we about to witness the sequel of the '08 distress?
Interest rates: one and done?
Hi everyone, The Fed has raised interest rates in line with expectations. Now the question remains: Is this the long-awaited final hike, or can we expect more increases in the future? What do you guys think?
Lower CPI : Fuel prices VS Interest hikes
Given the lag in the transmission of higher interest rates in the economy, I am wondering whether the main driver behind the lower Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers is primarily linked to fuel prices rather than monetary policy. This consideration arises from the observed high correlation between...
An Inconceivable Reality: USD Deflation
Over the weekend my team and I were running bank analyses when we were hit with a power outage. While we waited for the lights to come back, I threw out a hypothetical question to keep us entertained. Little did I know that this would lead to one of the funniest, most divisive, and most intense...
Blackstone's Schwarzman saying inflation is over. Wishful thinking ?
Steve Schwarzman posted the below on LinkedIn yesterday. What's your opinion ? Wishful thinking or real insight? The breadth of Blackstone’s portfolio gives us a unique pulse on inflation. This informed our view in 2021 that inflation would be pervasive and persistent, not transitory like most...
Stablecoins: A Cure for Inflation? Learn with MEXC Blog
Investors hold stablecoins as a strategy to boost market liquidity for cryptocurrencies and as an inflation hedge. Because of the current economic system, inflation is an issue for the entire world. The ability of central banks to engage in unfettered quantitative easing increases inflation and...
Summer Internship Decision: JPM PB vs D&C ER
Hi everyone! :) I am a Spanish graduate student attending an Ivy League university in the US (think Wharton/Columbia/Yale) studying finance and economics. I know I want to work in the Buy Side but I am still unsure if I should do AM or PB. I appreciate work/life balance and I would like to work in...
Macroeconomics in interviews
What sort of questions regarding macroeconomics should one prepare for entry level Banking interviews? Thank you
What kind of internship for that kind of goal(s)?
Well, it's been some months that I browse this resourceful website and I should say, I need some advices. I'm an undergraduated student in a Msc in finance in a target european business school, I am president of the finance association, wrote dozen of financial analysis invested in stock markets. I...
Textbooks/Useful Content For Rates/Macro/Bond Math?
Does anyone have some useful textbooks for relevant info in Rates S&T? Anything along the lines of Macroeconomics/Interest Rates & Bond Math would be great.
Economics Books to Read
Hi guys, Does anyone have any recommendations for any good books to read providing a good insight into Macroeconomics (for relative beginners). Something that is also good for entry level Investment Banking interviews. Thank you.
Books for Macro Economic Perspective
Hey, you guys I'm looking for book suggestions that will me help gain a better macroeconomic perspective. I get a copy of the WSJ journal daily and try to read it with breakfast if I have time. However I've been having trouble connecting the dots. Such as relationship of the 10-year note to...
Tech Competition -> Bad for the Economy
According to an article by Bloomberg, the current state of competition among major U.S. firms is not sustainable in the long run: Tech giants like Facebook and Amazon are the tip of the iceberg of a trend toward market concentration. That's good for profits, but a new study says it also risks...
Government Shutdown: how it will affect the economy/capital markets
As many of you might be aware of, the threat of a government shutdown this weekend still looms large. As of right now, there is no agreement on an extension and so the shutdown is a real possibility. How will it affect the economy/capital markets? According to Bloomberg: [quote]"Both bond markets...
Retirement: Tick, Tock?
Monkeys, Another week passes, and with it comes the penning of another concerning article regarding the future of this aging nation. Witness Illinois: as of this post, they have $14.6 billion in unpaid bills. That encompasses everything from hospital reimbursements to road construction payments. For...
Brief Macro Analysis of North America
Hello, just wanted to get a few thoughts on my analysis of markets in North America (macro perspective). The last pic has my brief view of all the charts provided by the OECD. Thanks in advance.
Top Geopolitical Risks 2017
I'm curious as to what the monkeys here think about geopolitical risk. As a background for this post, the Eurasia Group (a global political risk consulting firm whose clients are large financial and other institutions concerned with how politics affect markets) every year releases a "top risks" of...
why so little macro on the due diligence for equity research?
the title is pretty straightforward. I am wondering why such little attention is devoted to the classic "bigger picture", aka macroeconomics on a regional / zone / global scale as opposed to the in depth diligence on all the things relating to the industry (sector demand/supply, competitive...
Japan Looking Negative
This past Friday, Japan became another country to introduce negative interest rates. This occasion marks the first time Japan's central bank set a negative rate in an increasingly desperate attempt to prevent the country from sliding into deflationary territory. The yen fell as much as 2.1%...
Macro trades : An eventful week into year end - ECB/OPEC/PAYROLL thoughts!
In a normal trading year, December tends to be relatively dull, with markets registering a lower volume and reduced volatility. But this time round it looks rather differed as we seem to be poised for a rather interesting week just before fund managers and real money players head into holiday...
A Map of The Markets
HI guys I am new on WSO and as posted in an earlier discussion I am looking for a book/website that describes the conceptual ideas, mechanics and dynamics behind the financial markets. Extensive I know - let me elaborate: You often read in the papers or hear in the news headlines such as: Oil prices...
Research Career with International Focus
Hello all, I know that this forum is geared towards those seeking a traditional MBA , but I have a bit of a different interest. Would business school make sense for someone seeking a career with a focus on international research? I am interested in international relations, macroeconomics, and...
Merging macro views and industry/competitive analysis into valuation/accounting assumptions
brief introduction: I have become more and more accustomed to translate observations about the competitive strategy as well as the general demand/supply/new trends of the underlying industry into both accounting assumptions (revenue/COGS/D&A/Capex/etc) and valuation matters (risk/multiple...
Elm Partners - Active Index Investing
Hey guys! Anyone heard of Elm Partners? www.elmfunds.com They are headed by Victor Haghani (ex Solomon Brothers/LTCM/JWM trader,also known from "When Genius Failed" & "Liar's Poker" books). Hows their reputation? They have Active Index Investing strategy. More info on their website and on videos...
You don't know what you don't know
Since queueing up a handful of meetings, coffee chats, and quasi-interviews, I've begun to think a lot more about markets/sectors/industries that I wish I knew more about—if anything, just for fun and for the sake of engaging conversation with colleagues or in interviews.
Macroeconomic news sources
I'm starting an FT position with an AM firm soon. The position requires a strong understanding of macroeconomic news both in the US and around the world. What are some of the news sources or books/magazines you guys read to stay up to date on economic news? I read the usual WSJ and NYTimes. I read...
Country Risk Analyst
I saw a couple positions popping up as Country Risk Analyst in Credit Risk at BB banks. I apologise if this is not the right forum - I noticed a few past discussions for Credit Risk had been here, and it wasn't really obvious to me where else it ought to go.
Will traditional investment banks suffer the same fate as movie studios?
What I mean by that is the evolution of the internet has made everything localized. With all these tech startups, I think we will see a decline in the traditional dominance of mega-corps. Just look at what happened to Hollywood studios and its decline due to the internet. We are already seeing a...
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models (DSGE): How can this model be effectively used in the markets?
Considering the fact that DSGE models have a very few, if at all, any applications in financial markets, and rarely used by fin geeks as a tool for forecasting and time series analysis. But renewed interests in financial modelling for short-term quant analysis in forecasting market trends may find...
Soros 3/4 in Cash
Though he is not one of my favorite people in the industry it isn’t really possible to doubt the investing acumen of George Soros. Over the years many have made a good bit of money in markets by simply mimicking his strategies. The most recent, however, is hardly worthwhile replicating for most...
Has Hyper-Inflation Arrived?
These inflation figures might surprise you. While Bernanke and the boys at the Fed seem most concerned about deflation , the prices of everyday items were off to the races in 2010. Thanks to a very helpful article over at WiseBread , we see that prices of nearly everything we use on a daily basis...
Weekend Wars: North Korea vs. South Korea
Today, we finally have a "Weekend Wars" worthy of its title... In spite of the ignorance and ignoring on the part of my dear Keynesians we finally have a practical solution to the Global Financial Crisis... A real war I won't get too deep into the analysis or my own opinion. If you've read my blogs...
Best Macroeconomic Book
Hey guys, RE development guy here, looking for a better general understanding of the global economy. Can anyone recommend a good book on the topic? I wouldn't say that I'm completely without knowledge, but seeking pretty basic info. I regularly read WSJ, but would love a book to shore my info up....
Weekend Wars: Tim&Ben vs. The World
Weekend wars returns this week with a propagandist homage to the "good cop, bad cop" routine. As Jorgé notably summarized a few days ago , it seems as though the winds of change are blowing for Timothy Geithner, but is that really such a bad thing for the U.S. overall? Is it bad for TG himself? One...
SGX...the sleeping giant
Sometimes truly significant events slip beneath the cracks and few people notice. Our brains are trained to focus on tight definitions and established topics. Occasionally, the result is that we ignore huge events wrapped up in no frills packages. For instance, when I say that I am getting ready to...
The China Situation
In a world where everyone wants to be an exporter, he who has the weakest currency is king. And nobody knows this more than China. I came across this article from seeking alpha about the worsening trade situation between China and the states. [quote]“The Chinese government, in an effort to...
America's Next Top Bubble...large pension funds
America's next top bubble. Coming soon to your idiot box. Indeed, the large pension funds of America are living in a dream. The dream that 8% annual returns are a reality going forward. If we were to stop and scratch beneath the surface and ask "why were there so many school districts,...
Macro to Micro ER
I was wondering if anyone could explain how ER analyst approach writing reports that include looking at the economy of countries THAN going down to a sector and THAN companies. I am interested in improving my Macro to Micro knowledge and I would like to get a start ASAP. Hopefully I can get some...
Business Cycles
I'm interested in getting more perspective on the current overall state of the markets. Anyone have any books/websites that give a detailed history on business cycles/depressions/booms? I've been reading Market Wizards in which a lot of the traders like to get a long-term perspective on where the...
Macroeconomics vs. Stocks
I feel kind of stupid for asking this, but luckily this is an anonymous forum. Over the last few decades the gains of the stock market have far surpassed the gains in gross domestic product. I suppose this can be accounted for by economies of scale and a greater macroeconomic shift towards large...
Seeking Advice - How to get in?
Hi. I'm looking for advice on how to get into trading , so I'm posting my resume. I'm sort of am in a strange position career-wise, so I really could use some solid no-nonsense talk. Do I have a shot? If yes do you have any advice on how to get in? I've posted my resume everywhere and it's like they...
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